I noticed it as well but I did not know the first time I saw this video, for whom he wrote the song. I thought it was for his first wife. Usually the first cut is the deepest!! Dixit Rod Stewart!! He was certainly very much in love with her because he married her rather young!! And what happened with their marriage was certainly a big emotional shock. Now that was my theory up until now but if you say it's for Holly then maybe you are right...
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song about his relationship with one of his grilfriends in his youth (maybe Sue Hercombe ?) is Down to the waterline
songs about his relationship with his first wife are on the first album : water of love, setting me up, six blade knife, and on communique : follow me home
songs about his relationship with Holly Vincent are : Romeo & Juliet, love over gold and it never rains (a "trilogy" as said in the oldifeld book, although Mark denied it)
songs about his relationship with Lourdes could be : when it comes to you, fade to black, how long, maybe your latest trick ?
songs about his relationship with Kitty are all love songs from Golden heart until now